Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Epidemic in Asia
Identifieur interne : 001813 ( Pmc/Checkpoint ); précédent : 001812; suivant : 001814Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Epidemic in Asia
Auteurs : Guofa Zhou [États-Unis] ; Guiyun Yan [États-Unis]Source :
- Emerging Infectious Diseases [ 1080-6040 ] ; 2003.
Abstract
We analyzed the dynamics of cumulative severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) cases in Singapore, Hong Kong, and Beijing using the Richards model. The predicted total SARS incidence was close to the actual number of cases; the predicted cessation date was close to the lower limit of the 95% confidence interval.
Url:
DOI: 10.3201/eid0912.030382
PubMed: 14720403
PubMed Central: 3034341
Affiliations:
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PMC:3034341Le document en format XML
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<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name><surname>Zhou</surname>
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State University of New York at Buffalo, Buffalo, New York, USA</aff>
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<author-notes><corresp id="cor1">Address for correspondence: Guofa Zhou, Department of Biological Sciences, State University of New York at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY 14260, USA; fax: 716-645-2975; email: <email xlink:href="gzhou2@buffalo.edu">gzhou2@buffalo.edu</email>
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<pub-date pub-type="ppub"><month>12</month>
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<volume>9</volume>
<issue>12</issue>
<fpage>1608</fpage>
<lpage>1610</lpage>
<abstract><p>We analyzed the dynamics of cumulative severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) cases in Singapore, Hong Kong, and Beijing using the Richards model. The predicted total SARS incidence was close to the actual number of cases; the predicted cessation date was close to the lower limit of the 95% confidence interval.</p>
</abstract>
<kwd-group kwd-group-type="author"><title>Keywords: </title>
<kwd>SARS</kwd>
<kwd>infectious disease</kwd>
<kwd>population dynamics</kwd>
<kwd>Richards model</kwd>
<kwd>net reproductive rate</kwd>
<kwd>cumulative cases</kwd>
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<name sortKey="Yan, Guiyun" sort="Yan, Guiyun" uniqKey="Yan G" first="Guiyun" last="Yan">Guiyun Yan</name>
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